Tag Archive 'Istanbul Stock Exchange'

Jun 23 2008

Will Turkey Bounce Back for Long-Term Gains?

If you look at the chart of the Istanbul Stock Exchange your gut instinct is to cut and run. But is that the best strategy for an emerging market with great upside potential?

Like other emerging markets, Turkey is taking it beating from inflation. So far, the government’s policies have kept inflation below 10% — putting it a notch above China.

Let’s face it: inflation is wreaking havoc on all markets, including the U.S. In fact, inflation is probably the biggest cause of volatility in emerging markets today. For investors, that leaves that basically leaves two choices: 1) go into something stable like bonds or 2) get in at the bottom and ride out a market that has the legs for long-term growth.

Turkey’s economic fundamentals tell me that long-term growth is the way to play the Istanbul Stock Exchange. And the best way to get in now is through the ISE National 100 Index. Since it reflects the performance of the Istanbul Stock Exchange, the chart below may lead you think that Turkey is in deep trouble. However, if you discount the effects of inflation, Turkey has the potential to be a good place to put your money for the next few years.

One of the most important aspects of investing in emerging markets is government stability. The largely Muslim nation is on a quest to make important reforms for the 21st century.

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