Archive for the 'Global Economy' Category

Feb 02 2009

Economic Unrest: Riots in Greece

Today, hundreds of farmers took to the streets of the port of Pireaus, demanding government aid. This is the 13th day of protests, and Greece is having trouble all across the nation.

According to an International Herald Tribune article, “The clashes highlighted growing social unrest in Greece. The center-right government of Prime Minister Kostas Karamanlis is struggling to restore its credibility after student riots in December.”

Greece isn’t the only European country experiencing riots…

Russia is seeing economic protests. And Switzerland, where the World Economic Forum is underway, also has it share of demonstrations. In France, hundreds of thousands of protestors demonstrated in the streets all across the nation.

The common denominator is the disgust at how citizens think their governments are handling the global economic crisis. Certain groups are pleading for financial aid, others want resignations. Neither will come quickly or easily.

So for some, like these Greek farmers, help may come too late. Farmers’ income has shrunk by nearly 24% in the past ten years, and now that commodity prices have fallen off a cliff, it’ll be even harder for farmers to gain any ground on the past.

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Jan 23 2009

Currencies: Will the Dollar Remain King?

I’d like to draw everyone’s attention to a recent article in Taipan Daily, our free daily newsletter.

One of the recent themes we’ve been talking about is if the U.S. dollar will have the strength to remain the world’s reserve currency. Our editorial director, Justice Litle, wrote specifically about this in an article called, “President Obama Can’t Save the Dollar.”

Our belief is that the U.S. dollar has been appreciating only because investors are fleeing to “safety” which creates a sudden demand for the dollar. There is no fundamental economical aspect to the greenback to suggest this appreciation will be sustatinable.

Just the opposite, in fact. With a mad-cap printing Federal Reserve chaired by spineless leader Ben Bernanke, the dollar is a phoenix… inches away from being crisped to ashes.

It doesn’t help that we’ve got a more than $680 billion debt burden to China alone, who today got a strongly-worded statement by new U.S. Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner.

But what happens if China doesn’t want to hold U.S. dollars any more, or calls up that $680 billion debt? I remember a couple years back when there was talk of China changing its dollars for gold. People brushed it off, and it hasn’t happened yet.

Yet… That’s a scary word. If you knew that the asset you were holding was going to be worthless in a year or two, would you keep holding it?

Only if somebody made it worth your while. I think this whole China situation bares watching, and closely. If we get a spike in oil prices that start to put inflationary pressure back into play, I wouldn’t be surprised to hear renewed talk of moving away from the dollar.

And it wouldn’t be just China calling for a change… Watch the Middle East, too.

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Jan 07 2009

Israeli Economy: Truce Stalls TASE

It’s been announced that Israel is in the process of accepting terms for a truce, and has called a halt to its Gaza operations.

Surprisingly, perhaps, the Tel Aviv stock exchange has had its first down day in seven days. Does this mean that the TASE likes war? Come on! Look at what’s going on in the rest of the world:

Germany: down 1.77%
France: down 1.48%
London: down 2.83%
DJIA: down 2.75% (as I write)

And other markets in Latin America are really slumping today.

What does this mean? It means that war, or lack thereof, is not affecting Israel’s stock market. In other words, “It’s the economy, stupid!”

Big job losses here in the States sent markets spinning today, and not just here in the U.S. This news sent oil dropping, which affected a number of exporting markets, like Norway and Nigeria. It sent metals, both base and precious dropping, too (the exception being platinium), which is a bit unusual. That affects producing countries like Chile and Peru.

It means that investors are going to have to look long and hard at the countries and companies they want to invest in, not just play the news and major events.

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Jan 06 2009

Israel Rises: Economic Strength

Last week I told you how Israel’s market, the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange was seemingly immune to rockets. Even a reporter for the Haaretz Daily Newspaper, Hagai Amit, wrote, “The bottom line, the stock market is used to rockets.”

I also told you that Israel’s TASE was more likely to be influenced by the global economic crisis than the ongoing conflict in Gaza.

Turns out, I was right (so far).

In Taipan Insider, an exclusive report for all members of Taipan Publishing Group’s services, I gave an in-depth report about Israel’s performance through these crises. I said:

Last Monday, the TASE-100 rebounded as high as 550.88.
This Monday, the TASE-100 hit a high of 600.95.

In short, Israel’s TASE is following other major world indices and seemingly putting in a bottom. In spite of this ongoing conflict.

Again, Arab markets in the region are mixed, with the UAE market up nearly 6% and Qatar’s market down nearly 4%.

To me, this “proves” that the conflict is not the major factor in the region right now. The global economy is the big player.

And today, we’ve seen the TASE-100 climb even higher, popping up to 618.24, a rise of 4.5%.

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