Archive for the 'East Asia' Category

Aug 18 2008

Emerging Markets Invest in Emerging Markets

Published by Sara Nunnally under East Asia, North Africa, SWF

About four months ago, China’s sovereign wealth fund, China Investment Corp., announced that it would up the amount of money it pours into foreign investments by 30%. Now, CIC has about $90 billion to spend on assets abroad.

CIC has some complex dealings with internal state-owned banks, like the Agricultural Bank of China and China’s Development Bank. Not surprising, since on of CIC’s major funtions, indeed, the reason it was formed at all was to provide financial stability for China’s state-owned banks.

Near the end of last week, China’s Development Bank signed a $100 million loan contract with Banco de Chile (BCH:NYSE).

BCH is Chile’s second largest bank, and has also signed an agreement to open joint credit lines with CDB. According to the press release, CBD wants to invest in Chile’s “ports, bioceanic corridors and junior mining companies.

Chile is a major producer of copper, which is of great import to China. In fact, China’s capital investment in infrastructure like roads, factories, and property climbed 27.3% in the first half of 2008. That’s more than was expected, and this continued growth is sure to keep demand high for industrial metals like copper.

This should come as no surprise to any of you who have been keeping up with the sovereign wealth fund story. Barely a month ago, Kuwait announced it would boost investments in stocks, bonds and real estate in China, India and Japan.

But I did find one interesting story…

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Aug 15 2008

Dollar Turn-around Has Analysts Questioning Emerging Markets

When the U.S. economy fell off a cliff, a bunch of investors fled to the “safety” of booming emerging markets, like China and Brazil.

Turned out to be a good bet for a while, until our credit crisis became a global disease… and even stellar markets had their corrections.

But now, on the slightest bump up in the dollar, some analysts are now questioning whether emerging markets is the best place for your cash. Some say that U.S. stocks are a better bet than foreign stocks.

What’s really going on is that other major currencies, like the euro and the British pound, are being hit by recession fears and the possibility of more bank write-downs.

The dollar hasn’t really risen that much on its own yet. We’re still seeing poor housing numbers and sky-high inflation. There have been bright spots in the U.S. economy, and I won’t deny that things are starting to look better, but a major shift back to holding only U.S. assets in your portfolio is a big mistake.

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Jul 16 2008

The BUD Deal: No Use Crying Over Spilled Beer

Published by Sara Nunnally under Consumer, East Asia

In today’s posting, Sarah Nunnally, Editor of Taipan Trader, takes on your faithful editor Irwin Greenstein for his rant in the July 2nd issue about InBev’s move on Anheuser Bush. Feel free to ad your comments about the acquisition of a great American brand by a Belgian company.

Done is done, Irwin… No use crying over spilled beer.

Anheuser-Busch (BUD:NYSE) has agreed to the takeover terms by InBev SA (INBVF:PINK)

The deal is worth $52 billion. That’s a steal, if you ask me. Thanks to the dollar’s fresh demise (new lows against the euro), InBev is spending only 32.5 billion euros. A year ago that price tag would have been 37.7 billion euros, and that’s the main reason why InBev can afford to buy BUD now.

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Jul 14 2008

China’s Next Big Oil Play?

One of the biggest business stories of the year has literally been buried by the media — and it could cost you a lucrative opportunity.

On July 9, the China Investment Corp (CIC), the country’s $200-billion sovereign wealth fund, said it will start investing in global equity markets through its overseas asset managers, according to the China Securities Journal.

CIC said it will allocate $250 million to eight different overseas asset managers.

Why Big Media didn’t play this up more prominently is a real joke. CIC is the world’s sixth biggest sovereign wealth fund (SWF). The decision to start actively investing in emerging market equities is a clear indication that emerging markets cannot be ignored.

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